ACT @ The Functorial
Reading notes (Tanzer)

Nsoeslie et. al, A simulation optimization approach to epidemic forecasting

Model parameters:

  • Transmissibility - rate at which disease propagates through population - e.g. 6 E-5 per sec/unit of contact time

  • Incubation period - duration between infection and onset of symptoms - e.g. 0:0.0 1:0.3 2:0.5 3:0.2

  • Infectious period - period during which infected persons can shed the virus - e.g. 2:0.0 3:0.3 4:0.4 5:0.2 6:0.1

General epidemiology
  • SEIR: Susceptible - Exposed - Infectious - Recovered

  • SEIRD: Susceptible - Exposed - Infectious - Recovered / Dead